The men’s lineup for the Olympic Trials is almost set. There’s really just one spot left and two teams in the running for it. The fate of those two teams is out of their hands and in the hands of a third team that’s already in.
Let’s look at who will be filling the final eight spots for the trials process.
From 2008-09
Right now those teams would be:
Brad Gushue (Newfoundland and Labrador)
Mike McEwen (Manitoba)
Joel Jordison (Saskatchewan)
Jean-Michel Menard (Quebec)
From the three-year standings:
Bob Ursel (B.C.)
From the two-year standings:
Greg McAulay (B.C.)
Daley Peters (Manitoba)
From this year:
Ted Appelman (Alberta)
However, this is subject to change based on the play of Appelman. While Appelman’s position is solid, the one team whose fate is questionable is Daley Peters, whose not even at the Players’ Championship.
If Appelman loses his quarterfinals game, then the standings remain as above. However, a win by Appelman would propel him past Menard in getting one of the four spots based on the 2008-09 standings.
Menard then would take one of the two-year spots and McAulay would keep the other knocking Peters out.
That would then take us to the final spot, based on this year’s standings and that would go to Sean Geall of B.C.
So Geall’s hopes are still alive and rest on the shoulders of Appelman.
Now that’s four the final eight spots in Prince George at the pre-trials. But what about the final two direct spots in the Olympic Trials in Edmonton.
Going into this week, Kevin Koe and Wayne Middaugh were in front for those spots but with Middaugh’s failure to qualify for the playoffs at the Players’ the Ontario team has lost that chance.
Kevin Koe, who beat Middaugh to make the playoffs, has now ensured his spot at the Roar of the Rings in Edmonton through the three-year accumulated standings.
For the last spot, through the two-year accumulated standings, Jeff Stoughton’s qualification at the Players’ has almost assured him that spot.
If Stoughton wins his quarterfinal game, he will cinch the spot with 356.7 points.
If he were to lose his quarterfinal game, he would be left with 351.7 points, leaving a small opening for Randy Ferbey. However, the only way Ferbey could get that last spot would be by winning the Players’ and then he would walk away with the crown by less than five points — 356.288. If he loses again in the Players’, then Stoughton can book his tickets for Edmonton and not worry about Prince George.
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Women's Olympic Trials set
So, with the semifinals set at the Players’ Championship, the final 16 is set for the two rounds of the Olympic Trials this fall.
Firstly, the four with the direct passes to Olympic Trials in Edmonton have been set for a while, as I reported recently. Those teams are:
Jennifer Jones (Manitoba)
Shannon Kleibrink (Alberta)
Cheryl Bernard (Alberta)
Stefanie Lawton (Saskatchewan)
Now here are the 12 who are going to the pre-trials in Prince George and how they qualified:
Qualified before this season:
Kelly Scott (B.C.)
Sherry Middaugh (Ontario)
Sherry Anderson (Saskatchewan)
Amber Holland (Saskatchewan)
Top 4 from the 2008-09 CTRS standings to fill the 2008-09 spots:
Marie France Larouche (Quebec)
Michelle Englot (Saskatchewan)
Heather Rankin (Alberta)
Rachel Homan (Ontario)
And then the additional four:
One team based on the three-year accumulated standings
Cathy King (Alberta)
Two teams based on the two-year accumulated standings
Krista McCarville (Ontario)
Eve Belisle (Quebec)
And the last team based on this year’s standings:
Crystal Webster (Alberta)
So there we go people, now we know who we’ll be watching in thee trials this fall. It should be fun.
Firstly, the four with the direct passes to Olympic Trials in Edmonton have been set for a while, as I reported recently. Those teams are:
Jennifer Jones (Manitoba)
Shannon Kleibrink (Alberta)
Cheryl Bernard (Alberta)
Stefanie Lawton (Saskatchewan)
Now here are the 12 who are going to the pre-trials in Prince George and how they qualified:
Qualified before this season:
Kelly Scott (B.C.)
Sherry Middaugh (Ontario)
Sherry Anderson (Saskatchewan)
Amber Holland (Saskatchewan)
Top 4 from the 2008-09 CTRS standings to fill the 2008-09 spots:
Marie France Larouche (Quebec)
Michelle Englot (Saskatchewan)
Heather Rankin (Alberta)
Rachel Homan (Ontario)
And then the additional four:
One team based on the three-year accumulated standings
Cathy King (Alberta)
Two teams based on the two-year accumulated standings
Krista McCarville (Ontario)
Eve Belisle (Quebec)
And the last team based on this year’s standings:
Crystal Webster (Alberta)
So there we go people, now we know who we’ll be watching in thee trials this fall. It should be fun.
Friday, April 17, 2009
CTRS Mumble Jumble Women continued
With just one more draw to go for the women before the playoffs at the Players’ Championship in Grande Prairie, I just wanted to take a look at how things are now shaping up for the final eight spots in the Olympic trials.
As mentioned before, Marie France Larouche has already earned a spot since no unqualified team can catch her in this year’s CTRS standings. So, despite her dismal three-and-out performance at the Players’, she still has her place in Prince George.
As for the other seven, here’s how it is shaping up.
Here’s how this season’s points stand for the unqualified teams, going into the three C finals this afternoon:
Marie France Larouche — 183.3 (final)
Michelle Englot — 100.25 (could increase)
Crystal Webster — 83.45 (could increase)
Marla Mallett — 81.6 (final)
Cathy King — 81.35 (final)
Krista McCarville — 81.1 (could increase)
Heather Rankin — 78.8 (could increase)
Rachel Homan — 75.9 (could increase)
Barb Spencer — 75.15 (could increase).
In the three C finals, Spencer plays the already qualified Sherry Middaugh, Webster plays Homan and Rankin plays Englot.
If Webster wins, she assures herself a spot in the pre-trials. Same with Englot. The other three would put themselves in a great position.
If one of these unqualified teams wins the Players’ outright, then there will be three other berths decided via the CTRS for this season (a fourth will be determined using this year’s standings, but only after picking three through the accumulated year totals).
When it comes to the three-year and two-year spots, fewer teams are in the running.
Cathy King, despite losing three straight, has assured herself a spot thanks to her play in previous years (using her current team’s points, which is denoted on the curling.ca website by Cathy King(a)).
If Englot failed to get a spot using this year’s CTRS standings, she would get the three-year spot because no one can catch her (the only one still alive who is within 40 points is McCarville and she would need to win the Players’ to catch Englot. But if she won, she’d get a berth that way and Englot would still get the three-year berth). So, either way Englot’s going to Prince George.
Now, with Englot and Larouche out of the way, that leaves King the top unqualified team on the two-year list. Since there are two spots via the two-year list, King would definitely get a spot since no one who is still alive can catch her. As well, no one can catch Krista McCarville, so she too is guaranteed a spot, even if she doesn’t earn one from this year’s standings.
So, there are in fact now four teams that definitely have a spot:
Marie France Larouche,
Michelle Englot,
Cathy King,
Krista McCarville.
The final four spots will be fought over between Webster, Mallett, Rankin, Homan, Spencer and Eve Belisle who, even though she’s not in Grande Prairie, could win one of the two-year spots depending on whether those above her in the two-year standards first qualify a different way.
As mentioned before, Marie France Larouche has already earned a spot since no unqualified team can catch her in this year’s CTRS standings. So, despite her dismal three-and-out performance at the Players’, she still has her place in Prince George.
As for the other seven, here’s how it is shaping up.
Here’s how this season’s points stand for the unqualified teams, going into the three C finals this afternoon:
Marie France Larouche — 183.3 (final)
Michelle Englot — 100.25 (could increase)
Crystal Webster — 83.45 (could increase)
Marla Mallett — 81.6 (final)
Cathy King — 81.35 (final)
Krista McCarville — 81.1 (could increase)
Heather Rankin — 78.8 (could increase)
Rachel Homan — 75.9 (could increase)
Barb Spencer — 75.15 (could increase).
In the three C finals, Spencer plays the already qualified Sherry Middaugh, Webster plays Homan and Rankin plays Englot.
If Webster wins, she assures herself a spot in the pre-trials. Same with Englot. The other three would put themselves in a great position.
If one of these unqualified teams wins the Players’ outright, then there will be three other berths decided via the CTRS for this season (a fourth will be determined using this year’s standings, but only after picking three through the accumulated year totals).
When it comes to the three-year and two-year spots, fewer teams are in the running.
Cathy King, despite losing three straight, has assured herself a spot thanks to her play in previous years (using her current team’s points, which is denoted on the curling.ca website by Cathy King(a)).
If Englot failed to get a spot using this year’s CTRS standings, she would get the three-year spot because no one can catch her (the only one still alive who is within 40 points is McCarville and she would need to win the Players’ to catch Englot. But if she won, she’d get a berth that way and Englot would still get the three-year berth). So, either way Englot’s going to Prince George.
Now, with Englot and Larouche out of the way, that leaves King the top unqualified team on the two-year list. Since there are two spots via the two-year list, King would definitely get a spot since no one who is still alive can catch her. As well, no one can catch Krista McCarville, so she too is guaranteed a spot, even if she doesn’t earn one from this year’s standings.
So, there are in fact now four teams that definitely have a spot:
Marie France Larouche,
Michelle Englot,
Cathy King,
Krista McCarville.
The final four spots will be fought over between Webster, Mallett, Rankin, Homan, Spencer and Eve Belisle who, even though she’s not in Grande Prairie, could win one of the two-year spots depending on whether those above her in the two-year standards first qualify a different way.
CTRS Mumble Jumble Men continued
Men’s CTRS
With three days down at the Players’ Championship the men’s roster for the Olympic trials is starting to become clearer.
As was stated before, Joel Jordison, Mike McEwen, Brad Gushue, Bob Ursel and Jean-Michel Menard.
However, the crystal ball is starting to become clearer when it comes to the final three spots.
Going into the Players’, we had determined that eight teams had a crack at those last three spots. Those teams were:
Sean Geall
Greg McAulay
Daley Peters
Chris Schille
Dale Matchett
Ted Appelman
and Brad Heidt.
After losing three straight games and being eliminated, Schille is officially out of the picture. But the other seven remain alive.
Even though his team went three and out, Geall still has a ghost of a chance.
If the Players’ was to wrap up right now with the three teams from that list who are still alive not advancing to the playoffs, the last eight spots would be simple.
The four spots from this year’s CTRS would go to:
Gushue,
McEwen,
Jordison
and Menard.
The one spot from the three-year accumulated total would go to:
Ursel.
The two spots from the two-year accumulated total would go to:
McAulay
and Peters.
And the final spot, to be the top team from this year’s 2008-09 CTRS standings, would be:
Geall.
However, if Appelman or Matchett were to qualify for the playoffs (and Matchett has a couple of cracks at it in a B final and a C final, if necessary) then Geall’s dream would be toast.
A defeat in the quarterfinals for either of those teams would give them the eighth and final spot. If they both lost in the quarters, Appelman would score the bid.
For Heidt to get in there, he had have to make it to the final and lose there.
Now, all three of these teams could muddy the waters by winning the Players’ and getting an automatic spot. Appelman and Matchett could muck things up back making it to the semifinals.
If one of them was to make it at least as far as the semifinals, they would take one of the initial four berths from this year’s standings.
Also, if that happened, Peters, who is not at the Players’, would be knocked out of contention.
If just one of the two made it to the semis, while the other missed the playoffs, then Geall would hold on to his last spot. If the other team lost in the quarters, then they would get the spot and Geall would be SOL.
So, with just part of the Players’ to come, there still are several permutations remaining to determine the final three spots but Geall still has a solid hope even though he finished winless.
With three days down at the Players’ Championship the men’s roster for the Olympic trials is starting to become clearer.
As was stated before, Joel Jordison, Mike McEwen, Brad Gushue, Bob Ursel and Jean-Michel Menard.
However, the crystal ball is starting to become clearer when it comes to the final three spots.
Going into the Players’, we had determined that eight teams had a crack at those last three spots. Those teams were:
Sean Geall
Greg McAulay
Daley Peters
Chris Schille
Dale Matchett
Ted Appelman
and Brad Heidt.
After losing three straight games and being eliminated, Schille is officially out of the picture. But the other seven remain alive.
Even though his team went three and out, Geall still has a ghost of a chance.
If the Players’ was to wrap up right now with the three teams from that list who are still alive not advancing to the playoffs, the last eight spots would be simple.
The four spots from this year’s CTRS would go to:
Gushue,
McEwen,
Jordison
and Menard.
The one spot from the three-year accumulated total would go to:
Ursel.
The two spots from the two-year accumulated total would go to:
McAulay
and Peters.
And the final spot, to be the top team from this year’s 2008-09 CTRS standings, would be:
Geall.
However, if Appelman or Matchett were to qualify for the playoffs (and Matchett has a couple of cracks at it in a B final and a C final, if necessary) then Geall’s dream would be toast.
A defeat in the quarterfinals for either of those teams would give them the eighth and final spot. If they both lost in the quarters, Appelman would score the bid.
For Heidt to get in there, he had have to make it to the final and lose there.
Now, all three of these teams could muddy the waters by winning the Players’ and getting an automatic spot. Appelman and Matchett could muck things up back making it to the semifinals.
If one of them was to make it at least as far as the semifinals, they would take one of the initial four berths from this year’s standings.
Also, if that happened, Peters, who is not at the Players’, would be knocked out of contention.
If just one of the two made it to the semis, while the other missed the playoffs, then Geall would hold on to his last spot. If the other team lost in the quarters, then they would get the spot and Geall would be SOL.
So, with just part of the Players’ to come, there still are several permutations remaining to determine the final three spots but Geall still has a solid hope even though he finished winless.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Going for double digits at the Players'
While the Grand Slam of Curling has only been around since the early part of the third millennium, the Players' Championship, the final jewel is grand slam crown that is currently being contested, has been around, at least for the men, for close to two decades.
Looking at the list of winners and runners-up shows that over the years there is one man, above all else, who has been dominant at this event — Kevin Martin (big surprise).
In the previous 16 Players' Championships, Martin has been in the final more than a half of the time — nine times to be precise.
Martin won the Players' five times — 1994, '98, 2000, '05 and '07 — and lost the final four times — 2001, '04, '06 and '08.
So this year, despite Sunday's stunning loss in Moncton, Martin is aiming to make it an unprecedented 10 finals. And judging from Tuesday night's opening round whupping of Pat Simmons of Moose Jaw — Martin scored six in the first en route to a four-end 9-3 win — he's in good shape to get there.
Looking at the list of winners and runners-up shows that over the years there is one man, above all else, who has been dominant at this event — Kevin Martin (big surprise).
In the previous 16 Players' Championships, Martin has been in the final more than a half of the time — nine times to be precise.
Martin won the Players' five times — 1994, '98, 2000, '05 and '07 — and lost the final four times — 2001, '04, '06 and '08.
So this year, despite Sunday's stunning loss in Moncton, Martin is aiming to make it an unprecedented 10 finals. And judging from Tuesday night's opening round whupping of Pat Simmons of Moose Jaw — Martin scored six in the first en route to a four-end 9-3 win — he's in good shape to get there.
CTRS Mumble Jumble Men's Extra
As we are now into the second day of the Players’ Championship, I thought I add to my comments earlier about the men’s qualifying for the curling trials spots.
Here, I want to look at who could get those other two automatic berths to Edmonton and the final trials, skipping past Prince George and the pre-trials.
Only two rinks can possibly earn the three-year accumulated total berth into the Edmonton trials.
Kevin Koe is tops on the three-year list among teams that have not qualified for Edmonton (which is Kevin Martin and Glenn Howard).
Koe is 45 points ahead of Jeff Stoughton, meaning he cannot be caught by Stoughton. The only person who can catch up Randy Ferbey. To do so, Ferbey will need to do 20 points better than Koe at the Players’.
If Koe wins the three-year, then this will leave it up to the two-year accumulated total berth and that will be a real dogfight.
Right now, Koe is tops among teams on the two-year list that don’t yet have a spot in Edmonton. If Ferbey somehow passed Koe on the three-year list, he still has a shot with this list.
However, if Koe wins the three-year berth then this leaves the two-year spot wide open with four teams in range to earn it.
Wayne Middaugh is after Koe with 343.645 points on the two-year list. Then comes Kerry Burtnyk at 332.325, then Jeff Stoughton at 331.7 and finally Ferbey, way back at at 316.288.
So, for the final two direct berths to Edmonton, Kevin Koe is not a lock but he has a firm grip on at least one of the spots. The other teams up for the spots are Ferbey, Middaugh, Burtnyk and Stoughton.
Here, I want to look at who could get those other two automatic berths to Edmonton and the final trials, skipping past Prince George and the pre-trials.
Only two rinks can possibly earn the three-year accumulated total berth into the Edmonton trials.
Kevin Koe is tops on the three-year list among teams that have not qualified for Edmonton (which is Kevin Martin and Glenn Howard).
Koe is 45 points ahead of Jeff Stoughton, meaning he cannot be caught by Stoughton. The only person who can catch up Randy Ferbey. To do so, Ferbey will need to do 20 points better than Koe at the Players’.
If Koe wins the three-year, then this will leave it up to the two-year accumulated total berth and that will be a real dogfight.
Right now, Koe is tops among teams on the two-year list that don’t yet have a spot in Edmonton. If Ferbey somehow passed Koe on the three-year list, he still has a shot with this list.
However, if Koe wins the three-year berth then this leaves the two-year spot wide open with four teams in range to earn it.
Wayne Middaugh is after Koe with 343.645 points on the two-year list. Then comes Kerry Burtnyk at 332.325, then Jeff Stoughton at 331.7 and finally Ferbey, way back at at 316.288.
So, for the final two direct berths to Edmonton, Kevin Koe is not a lock but he has a firm grip on at least one of the spots. The other teams up for the spots are Ferbey, Middaugh, Burtnyk and Stoughton.
CTRS Women's Mumble Jumble
So after sifting through the CTRS to look at the chances to qualify for the Olympic Trials for the men a few days, let’s do the same for the women.
Currently, there are eight teams qualified for the trials or pre-trials. Jennifer Jones and Shannon Kleibrink are into the trials in Edmonton, while Kelly Scott, Sherry Anderson, Cheryl Bernard, Amber Holland and Sherry Middaugh are qualified for the Prince George pre-trials.
Since Jones won the Scotties and Kleibrink won the Canada Cup, that leaves two spots that will be decided by this year’s CTRS standings.
Also, Marie-France Larouche (183.3) can only catch Kleibrink (217.95) in this year’s CTRS if Kleibrink goes winless while Larouche wins the Players’ Championship. However, if Larouche wins the Players’, she’ll get the automatic spot for winning the Players’. Since no one else can catch Kleibrink, there’s another spot that will be determined by the CTRS.
If Larouche goes three and out at the Players’, she’ll still qualify for the pre-trial, since the closest unqualified team, Michelle Englot, is almost 90 points back (94.25), and 30 points is the most any team can get without winning the Players’ and its automatic spot.
So that makes Larouche’s team No. 9 but it still leaves at least two spots from this year to be determined by the CTRS.
In the standings, Michelle Englot is next in line for a spot from this year’s standings, but she is not unassailable. There are, in fact, six teams who could catch Englot for the second spot without winning the Players’ — Cathy King, Marla Mallett, Crystal Webster, Heather Rankin, Rachel Homan and Barb Spencer. Plus, Krista McCarville of Thunder Bay could catch King for the third spot, so they can’t be forgotten.
Next, comes the four extra spots.
For the one spot based on the three-year standings, Englot and King are also in the top two spots for that post. If they hold their spots and win a position through this year’s CTRS, then McCarville is next in line for the 3-year spot, with a 16.038 lead on Crystal Webster.
With the two-year rankings, again, Englot, King and McCarville lead the way. The next team in line Quebec’s Eve Belisle. Since Belisle is not at the Player’s, this is her only hope to qualify. She does have a 19.033 lead on the next team, Webster.
After Webster at 99.550, Rachel Homan at 95.485 and Martha Mallett at 92.413 are close, in the push for one fo thtose two spots.
Finally, the last slot goes to the highest unqualified team on this year’s list. That leaves the following rinks with a shot at one of the seven remaining spots:
At the Players’:
Michelle Englot
Cathy King
Marla Mallett
Crystal Webster
Heather Rankin
Rachel Homan
Barb Spencer
Krista McCarville
Not at the Players’:
Eve Belisle
The other question with the women is who will get the two remaining direct passes to the trials in Edmonton, to join Jones and Kleibrink.
Right now, Kleibrink has earned her spot because she is uncatchable on the three-year accumulated total. Therefore, that leaves to final spots to be decided via the two-year accumulated total. Since there is no way for the next team that does not have a direct pass to catch them, Cheryl Bernard and Stefanie Lawton’s rinks will earn those direct passes.
However, if Kleibrink wins the Players’, she will get the spot because she won three events — this year's Canada Cup, the Players' and the CTRS.
If Kleibrink takes that route, then one spot goes to the next highest on the CTRS 3-year standings. There's only two rinks that could get that spot — Stefanie Lawton or Cheryl Bernard, whoever does better at the Players'. (While Kelly Scott is within 40 points of both Lawton and Bernard, barely, if she were to get the full 40 for winning the Players Kleibrink would be getting the 3-year spot, so Scott cannot earn it — 30 points for second place would not be enough to catch either Bernard or Lawton). If they have equal success, then Bernard would win the spot less than three points. The other spot goes to the top one on the 2-year, and that will be either Bernard or Lawton who are more than 50 points ahead of the teams behind them.
If Kleibrink doesn't win this weekend, then the final two spots will go to the top two unqualified teams on the 2-year list and that's Bernard and Lawton, they cannot be caught on either the list.
Currently, there are eight teams qualified for the trials or pre-trials. Jennifer Jones and Shannon Kleibrink are into the trials in Edmonton, while Kelly Scott, Sherry Anderson, Cheryl Bernard, Amber Holland and Sherry Middaugh are qualified for the Prince George pre-trials.
Since Jones won the Scotties and Kleibrink won the Canada Cup, that leaves two spots that will be decided by this year’s CTRS standings.
Also, Marie-France Larouche (183.3) can only catch Kleibrink (217.95) in this year’s CTRS if Kleibrink goes winless while Larouche wins the Players’ Championship. However, if Larouche wins the Players’, she’ll get the automatic spot for winning the Players’. Since no one else can catch Kleibrink, there’s another spot that will be determined by the CTRS.
If Larouche goes three and out at the Players’, she’ll still qualify for the pre-trial, since the closest unqualified team, Michelle Englot, is almost 90 points back (94.25), and 30 points is the most any team can get without winning the Players’ and its automatic spot.
So that makes Larouche’s team No. 9 but it still leaves at least two spots from this year to be determined by the CTRS.
In the standings, Michelle Englot is next in line for a spot from this year’s standings, but she is not unassailable. There are, in fact, six teams who could catch Englot for the second spot without winning the Players’ — Cathy King, Marla Mallett, Crystal Webster, Heather Rankin, Rachel Homan and Barb Spencer. Plus, Krista McCarville of Thunder Bay could catch King for the third spot, so they can’t be forgotten.
Next, comes the four extra spots.
For the one spot based on the three-year standings, Englot and King are also in the top two spots for that post. If they hold their spots and win a position through this year’s CTRS, then McCarville is next in line for the 3-year spot, with a 16.038 lead on Crystal Webster.
With the two-year rankings, again, Englot, King and McCarville lead the way. The next team in line Quebec’s Eve Belisle. Since Belisle is not at the Player’s, this is her only hope to qualify. She does have a 19.033 lead on the next team, Webster.
After Webster at 99.550, Rachel Homan at 95.485 and Martha Mallett at 92.413 are close, in the push for one fo thtose two spots.
Finally, the last slot goes to the highest unqualified team on this year’s list. That leaves the following rinks with a shot at one of the seven remaining spots:
At the Players’:
Michelle Englot
Cathy King
Marla Mallett
Crystal Webster
Heather Rankin
Rachel Homan
Barb Spencer
Krista McCarville
Not at the Players’:
Eve Belisle
The other question with the women is who will get the two remaining direct passes to the trials in Edmonton, to join Jones and Kleibrink.
Right now, Kleibrink has earned her spot because she is uncatchable on the three-year accumulated total. Therefore, that leaves to final spots to be decided via the two-year accumulated total. Since there is no way for the next team that does not have a direct pass to catch them, Cheryl Bernard and Stefanie Lawton’s rinks will earn those direct passes.
However, if Kleibrink wins the Players’, she will get the spot because she won three events — this year's Canada Cup, the Players' and the CTRS.
If Kleibrink takes that route, then one spot goes to the next highest on the CTRS 3-year standings. There's only two rinks that could get that spot — Stefanie Lawton or Cheryl Bernard, whoever does better at the Players'. (While Kelly Scott is within 40 points of both Lawton and Bernard, barely, if she were to get the full 40 for winning the Players Kleibrink would be getting the 3-year spot, so Scott cannot earn it — 30 points for second place would not be enough to catch either Bernard or Lawton). If they have equal success, then Bernard would win the spot less than three points. The other spot goes to the top one on the 2-year, and that will be either Bernard or Lawton who are more than 50 points ahead of the teams behind them.
If Kleibrink doesn't win this weekend, then the final two spots will go to the top two unqualified teams on the 2-year list and that's Bernard and Lawton, they cannot be caught on either the list.
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