Friday, April 17, 2009

CTRS Mumble Jumble Women continued

With just one more draw to go for the women before the playoffs at the Players’ Championship in Grande Prairie, I just wanted to take a look at how things are now shaping up for the final eight spots in the Olympic trials.
As mentioned before, Marie France Larouche has already earned a spot since no unqualified team can catch her in this year’s CTRS standings. So, despite her dismal three-and-out performance at the Players’, she still has her place in Prince George.
As for the other seven, here’s how it is shaping up.
Here’s how this season’s points stand for the unqualified teams, going into the three C finals this afternoon:
Marie France Larouche — 183.3 (final)
Michelle Englot — 100.25 (could increase)
Crystal Webster — 83.45 (could increase)
Marla Mallett — 81.6 (final)
Cathy King — 81.35 (final)
Krista McCarville — 81.1 (could increase)
Heather Rankin — 78.8 (could increase)
Rachel Homan — 75.9 (could increase)
Barb Spencer — 75.15 (could increase).

In the three C finals, Spencer plays the already qualified Sherry Middaugh, Webster plays Homan and Rankin plays Englot.
If Webster wins, she assures herself a spot in the pre-trials. Same with Englot. The other three would put themselves in a great position.
If one of these unqualified teams wins the Players’ outright, then there will be three other berths decided via the CTRS for this season (a fourth will be determined using this year’s standings, but only after picking three through the accumulated year totals).
When it comes to the three-year and two-year spots, fewer teams are in the running.
Cathy King, despite losing three straight, has assured herself a spot thanks to her play in previous years (using her current team’s points, which is denoted on the curling.ca website by Cathy King(a)).
If Englot failed to get a spot using this year’s CTRS standings, she would get the three-year spot because no one can catch her (the only one still alive who is within 40 points is McCarville and she would need to win the Players’ to catch Englot. But if she won, she’d get a berth that way and Englot would still get the three-year berth). So, either way Englot’s going to Prince George.
Now, with Englot and Larouche out of the way, that leaves King the top unqualified team on the two-year list. Since there are two spots via the two-year list, King would definitely get a spot since no one who is still alive can catch her. As well, no one can catch Krista McCarville, so she too is guaranteed a spot, even if she doesn’t earn one from this year’s standings.
So, there are in fact now four teams that definitely have a spot:
Marie France Larouche,
Michelle Englot,
Cathy King,
Krista McCarville.

The final four spots will be fought over between Webster, Mallett, Rankin, Homan, Spencer and Eve Belisle who, even though she’s not in Grande Prairie, could win one of the two-year spots depending on whether those above her in the two-year standards first qualify a different way.

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